{"id":12789,"date":"2026-10-13T15:46:57","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T14:46:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.eurogroupconsulting.com\/?p=12789"},"modified":"2026-10-13T15:46:59","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T14:46:59","slug":"corporate-investment-banking-outlook-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.eurogroupconsulting.com\/en\/publications\/etude\/corporate-investment-banking-outlook-2026","title":{"rendered":"Corporate &#038; Investment Banking Outlook 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"12789\" class=\"elementor elementor-12789\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-49d8932 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"49d8932\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6b14606 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6b14606\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h5><strong>2026 has been a strong year for Corporate and Investment Banks so far. The energy shock from the Strait of Hormuz closure reignited inflation and pushed central banks back into tightening.<\/strong><\/h5><h5><strong>The resulting volatility lifted trading and advisory activities at the same time. Every bank in our panel grew revenues and almost all now show positive jaws, but gains were uneven. US banks grew c.42% over two years against c.28% for UK\/EU banks, a gap that materialised in full over 2026.<\/strong><\/h5>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-002ceee elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"002ceee\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Investment banking and capital markets drove the expansion. Global IB revenue rose 24% to $61.4bn in H1 2026, and M&amp;A reached a record $3.28tn, carried by megadeals and AI related financing. The winners were capital markets pure players, above all Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Still, the transatlantic divide looks increasingly structural: US banks hold 54% of global IB fees against 20% for European banks, and Brexit has left European based activities more fragmented across several hubs.<\/p><p>This year, we have chosen to devote a dedicated section of our analysis to stablecoins and tokenised money, which we see as a defining strategic question for CIBs. Stablecoin supply now exceeds $300bn, nearly all of it in US dollars, and bank consortia on both sides of the Atlantic are moving from pilots to launches. We expect tokenised deposits to prevail for core wholesale flows and value to shift from issuance to orchestration. The winning CIBs will be those that invest early in the underlying infrastructure: custody, on chain compliance and real-time reconciliation.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-06011f2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"06011f2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">2026 is an excellent year for corporate and investment banks (CIBs), but it is widening the gap between players considerably<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d39246d elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"d39246d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a730613 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a730613\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"Style2\">The energy shock caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has reignited inflation and prompted central banks to return to monetary tightening. This environment has been highly favourable for CIBs: volatility in rates, currencies and commodities, strong equity markets, and a spectacular rebound in M&amp;A and financing activity. All the banks analysed have reported revenue growth, and almost all now have <em>positive jaws<\/em>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a979676 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"a979676\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">The main growth driver is the strong comeback in Markets and Investment Banking<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c15fb09 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"c15fb09\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cb8d423 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"cb8d423\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c023210 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c023210\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Capital Markets revenues rose <strong>30% in H1 2026<\/strong>, while global Investment Banking grew <strong>24%<\/strong>. M&amp;A had a record half-year, driven largely by <em>mega-deals<\/em>, technology investment and AI. For banks today, AI is generating more revenue &#8211; through financing for hyperscalers, infrastructure, utilities, M&amp;A and ECM\/DCM &#8211; than it is yet delivering in operational cost savings.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-be932e5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"be932e5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">For European banks, the challenge is becoming as structural as it is cyclical<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cb4f747 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"cb4f747\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b49f6ed elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b49f6ed\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Business models that rely more heavily on lending are benefiting less from the current cycle and generating less operating leverage. Brexit did not dethrone London, which remains Europe\u2019s leading financial centre, but it has contributed to a <strong>multi-hub<\/strong> European model &#8211; London, Paris, Frankfurt, Dublin, Luxembourg and Amsterdam &#8211; that creates greater fragmentation. Integrating European capital markets has become a direct competitiveness issue in the face of US banks.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1eaee50 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1eaee50\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div data-rtl=\"false\" data-row-effect-mobile-disable=\"true\"><p><strong>To learn more, download our full report, written by our experts <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurogroupconsulting.com\/en\/the-firm\/our-partners\/matthieu-prieuret\/\">Matthieu Prieuret<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/l%C3%A9a-probst\/\">L\u00e9a Probst<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/dillon-oppon-ferguson-307697182\/\">Dillon Oppon Ferguson<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/thomas-trenel\/\">Thomas Trenel<\/a>!<\/strong><\/p><\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans un march\u00e9 qui se tend malgr\u00e9 des volumes stables, les chargeurs sont pr\u00e9occup\u00e9s de la fragilit\u00e9 financi\u00e8re de certains transporteurs. Eux-m\u00eames confront\u00e9s sur leurs march\u00e9s \u00e0 des conditions \u00e9conomiques difficiles&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":12792,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[38,43],"class_list":["post-12789","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-etude","tag-featured-post","tag-highlight"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Corporate &amp; Investment Banking Outlook 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"2026 has been a strong year for Corporate and Investment Banks so far. 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